Bank Lending in Transition Economies

Bank privatization and tighter credit enforcement are believed indispensable to facilitate the Eastern European transition process. We analyze lending by value-maximizing banks, the only source of capital in the transition, faced by non-performing loans to the state-owned sector. We show that banks have a perverse incentive to fund former debtors, although less efficient and more risky, because they gain the potential repayment of previous debts. This leads to a lower productivity of investment and a greater concentration of risk; the expansion of more efficient private firms is delayed, leading to a slower recovery and a greater risk of financial crisis.